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The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.Market news: South Korean prosecutors summoned the Minister of Health to participate in the investigation.In the first 11 months of the North Stock Exchange, the issuance scale of new shares decreased by nearly 770% year-on-year, and the new shares rose by over 100% on the first day. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 20 new shares listed on the North Stock Exchange, and the total amount of funds raised was about 4.175 billion yuan, down by nearly 70% year-on-year. The scale of new shares is generally small, and the number of new shares raised less than 200 million yuan accounts for 65% of the total number of new shares. The share price of 70% new shares rose over 100% on the first day of listing. Among them, the share price of Tongguan Mining Construction rose by 731.41% on the first day of listing, and the share prices of Shengye Electric, Keli and Wanyuantong rose by over 300% on the first day. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of projects underwritten by CITIC Jiantou Securities was the highest, with a total project scale of about 699 million yuan, followed by First Venture Securities and Minsheng Securities. (Xinhua Finance)

The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.On the evening of December 10th, Sunac announced that two bonds, H6 Rongdi 01 and H0 Sunac 03, had taken the lead in voting on restructuring, and the other eight bonds still had two weeks to vote, and the voting results of the overall restructuring of 10 bonds would finally be ushered in on December 23rd. On November 27th, Sunac announced the second restructuring plan for domestic bonds, involving four restructuring options and a total of 10 bonds. Some analysts said that although the final result has not yet been settled, two bonds successfully passed the restructuring vote in a short period of time, indicating that some investors still have confidence in Sunac. Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, told reporters that the recent stabilization of the real estate market and the improvement of creditors' confidence will be beneficial to the debt restructuring of real estate enterprises in danger. (21 Finance)CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.

Rare! The Indian opposition applied to impeach the Vice President. According to the Indian Express, the opposition coalition of the Indian Parliament filed an application on the 10th to impeach Jagdeep Dhankar, the Indian Vice President and Speaker of the House of Lords, on the grounds that Dhankar "presided over the agenda of the House of Lords in an extremely biased way". This is the first time in Indian history that such impeachment has been proposed. (Global Times)Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Rare! The Indian opposition applied to impeach the Vice President. According to the Indian Express, the opposition coalition of the Indian Parliament filed an application on the 10th to impeach Jagdeep Dhankar, the Indian Vice President and Speaker of the House of Lords, on the grounds that Dhankar "presided over the agenda of the House of Lords in an extremely biased way". This is the first time in Indian history that such impeachment has been proposed. (Global Times)